Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.233961 0.264109 0.296077 0.332439 0.372589 0.415504 0.464780
2025-08-10 0.198119 0.239607 0.286178 0.342108 0.407223 0.480401 0.568614
2025-08-17 0.166679 0.214162 0.270167 0.340632 0.426411 0.526907 0.652969
2025-08-24 0.143457 0.194639 0.257734 0.340433 0.445079 0.572125 0.736954
2025-08-31 0.124877 0.178131 0.246478 0.339427 0.461167 0.613675 0.817434
2025-09-07 0.112855 0.168419 0.242350 0.346230 0.486454 0.666961 0.914294
2025-09-14 0.100621 0.156825 0.234229 0.346399 0.502149 0.707769 0.996134
2025-09-21 0.090391 0.146797 0.227041 0.346720 0.517290 0.747741 1.077835
2025-09-28 0.081693 0.137987 0.220573 0.347123 0.531928 0.787008 1.159550
2025-10-05 0.075446 0.132173 0.217796 0.352291 0.553087 0.835644 1.255575
2025-10-12 0.070945 0.128585 0.217905 0.361437 0.580090 0.893204 1.365918
2025-10-19 0.065557 0.122974 0.214337 0.364526 0.597940 0.938009 1.459392
2025-10-26 0.061340 0.119089 0.213431 0.372037 0.623413 0.995861 1.575490
2025-11-02 0.057983 0.116339 0.214093 0.381959 0.652956 1.060829 1.704476
2025-11-09 0.052737 0.109686 0.207717 0.379953 0.663543 1.097571 1.792658
2025-11-16 0.048321 0.104072 0.202596 0.379534 0.676387 1.137963 1.887505
2025-11-23 0.044234 0.098632 0.197292 0.378324 0.687655 1.176070 1.979891
2025-11-30 0.041827 0.096189 0.197080 0.385737 0.713295 1.237444 2.110148
2025-12-07 0.038617 0.091795 0.192938 0.385892 0.726606 1.279489 2.211264
2025-12-14 0.035728 0.087746 0.189088 0.386229 0.740064 1.322036 2.314315
2025-12-21 0.033113 0.083985 0.185463 0.386664 0.753549 1.364902 2.419018
2025-12-28 0.031316 0.081810 0.184726 0.392330 0.776338 1.423754 2.551297
2026-01-04 0.030119 0.080846 0.186292 0.402363 0.807226 1.497039 2.709284